Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117 0.000124
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000091 0.000098 0.000106 0.000116 0.000127 0.000140
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000086 0.000094 0.000105 0.000117 0.000132 0.000150
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000084 0.000094 0.000107 0.000122 0.000142 0.000167
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000081 0.000092 0.000106 0.000123 0.000146 0.000177
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000078 0.000089 0.000104 0.000124 0.000149 0.000186
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126 0.000155 0.000200
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000075 0.000088 0.000106 0.000130 0.000164 0.000218
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000072 0.000086 0.000104 0.000129 0.000166 0.000224
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000069 0.000082 0.000101 0.000126 0.000164 0.000226
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000067 0.000080 0.000098 0.000125 0.000163 0.000229
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000094 0.000120 0.000158 0.000224
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000124 0.000167 0.000245
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076 0.000097 0.000127 0.000176 0.000268
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000095 0.000127 0.000179 0.000280
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000097 0.000132 0.000190 0.000311
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000096 0.000132 0.000193 0.000325
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072 0.000095 0.000132 0.000195 0.000338
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000095 0.000134 0.000202 0.000363
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000097 0.000138 0.000213 0.000402
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000095 0.000136 0.000213 0.000411
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000068 0.000092 0.000132 0.000209 0.000408
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000052 0.000066 0.000090 0.000130 0.000207 0.000411